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Messages - Oricorio

#1
It would appear that I am uncontested as the NSM rep. Does anybody want to be the backup?
#2
In
#3
In
#4
Player analysis complete, sorry for taking so long! Also I really need a few people to sign up for a game I'm hosting offsite; since the champs are coming up this could give offsite experience to anyone interested in participating!
#5
Role reveal:
Wolves:
1. TheZeldaPianist275
2. SpecsFlyer17
Town:
3. raeko
4. ThatHiddenCharacter
5. BlackDragonSlayer
6. Toby
7. mastersuperfan
8. Nakah

Game summary:
D1: A lot of the day is related to discussion about whether it is better to reveal the lover pairs early or not, some players think that it will make discussions on who to lynch easier while others believe that they can catch a wolf slip if they're hidden for most of the day; ultimately, they all get revealed with nine hours remaining. Towards the end of the day, two main wagons emerge on Specs and BDS; as BDS was paired with TZP, this meant that  either option would have led to a wolf death. Ultimately, TZP votes BDS to save Specs; it goes to a KitB, which ends up killing BDS and TZP.
D2: Throughout the early phase, a town alliance of mastersuperfan and THC discusses the game, and mastersuperfan is able to deduce Specs as the most likely wolf and as the partner of TZP, leading both of them to vote Specs. However, the other townies don't seem to follow them, and ultimately Nakah becomes the counterwagon. However, Specs is unable to return in time to vote for Nakah, leaving it as another KitB, and this time Specs goes down, ending the game.

Player analysis:
1. BDS: Another entry in the "BDS was widely suspected and I'm not really sure why". You did get the right solve at the end and nearly succeeded in getting rid of Specs, but it was eventually stopped by an opportunistic wolf vote to force a KitB. Still, this didn't result in a bad outcome for town, but for future games you might want to work on getting people to TR you more.
2. ThatHiddenCharacter: Your alliance with mastersuperfan ended up being a huge benefit for town, and you did well in your resilience against SpecsFlyer's attempts to discredit the alliance. Sticking with Specs as a vote despite finding raeko more suspicious was also a good play, so I'll give you an honorable mention
3. SpecsFlyer17: This was definitely a rough game for wolves. Your entrance probably could have been better, as it was pointed out that it could be read from a wolfy perspective, and trying to directly go after the town alliance as a wolf is usually not a good idea; it's usually better to try to break up the alliance by TRing one and wolfreading the other, or to indirectly go against it by pushing one of their lovers. That said, the bad luck of being unable to show up in time to switch your vote, Toby not voting, and losing the KitB definitely did you in, and I can understand being upset with that result (I'm not a huge fan of the game being decided by RNG either). You did play a solid social game, as indicated by Nakah and Toby being unwilling to go after you at the end, so there is that.
4. Nakah - I feel your inactivity hurt you a bit, especially with you not making use of OC. I'm not entirely sure why you were suspecting MSF at the end. Ultimately, I feel the wolves were able to make a narrative off your passivity, and that nearly cost you in the end.
5. Raeko - I know you come from a different community and are probably not as familiar with this style of game, although statements like "You can't win if you don't survive" are probably just going to confuse people. You still did a pretty good job of towntelling though, especially at the end, even if you were a bit off as to who the wolves were.
6. TheZeldaPianist275 - I understand why wolves were desperate at EoD1, but I don't think your move of voting BDS really paid off. Number one, all the towncred doesn't really matter when you're dead, and two, what you did still left open the possibility that you were paired with Specs, something that MSF took notice of. If you wanted that to work, you probably should have been more openly skeptical of the Specs wagon for a while for that move to make sense from a town perspective. Of course, we'll never really know what would have happened in the world where Specs lost that KitB, but it shows why gambling on a KitB is an unreliable strategy anyway.
7. mastersuperfan - Easy MVP, your analyses were very helpful to town and you deduced the wolf team very easily. You also made the most effective use of OC, and your gambit with raeko helped further clarify your results. The one problem is you had difficulty convincing anyone outside of THC of your analysis, which could have led to a dead end, but you can't argue with results.
8. Toby - Again, the inactivity wasn't great and you seemed to be the most pocketed by Specs (either you or Nakah, anyway). Still, I suppose you do deserve credit for your vote on BDS being primarily motivated by your TZP suspicion, that is certainly an effective way of navigating this setup.
#6
Final votecount:
SpecsFlyer17: 2 (mastersuperfan, ThatHiddenCharacter)
Nakah: 2 (SpecsFlyer17, raeko)
mastersuperfan: 1 (Nakah)

By a KitB, SpecsFlyer17 is lynched and Toby dies of heartbreak!

Postgame thread coming soon.
#7
SpecsFlyer17: 2 (mastersuperfan, ThatHiddenCharacter)
Nakah: 2 (SpecsFlyer17, raeko)
mastersuperfan: 1 (Nakah)

2 hours remaining!
#8
Votecount:

SpecsFlyer17: 2 (mastersuperfan, ThatHiddenCharacter)
Nakah: 1 (SpecsFlyer17)

Five hours left!
#9
Votecount:

SpecsFlyer17: 1 (mastersuperfan)
Nakah: 1 (SpecsFlyer17)

A little over eight hours left!
#10
Votecount:

Raeko: 1 (mastersuperfan)

Still half of the phase left!
#11
Nakah: 1 (Raeko)
Raeko: 1 (SpecsFlyer17)
BlackDragonSlayer: 3 (Nakah, Toby, TheZeldaPianist275)
SpecsFlyer17: 3 (BlackDragonSlayer, ThatHiddenCharacter, mastersuperfan)

BlackDragonSlayer was lynched by KitB, and TheZeldaPianist275 dies of heartbreak!

It is now D2. Phase ends at 9:00 PM EST/1:00 UTC on March 11. Due to DST, this means the phase is 47 hours long instead of 48.
#12
Nakah: 1 (Raeko)
Raeko: 1 (SpecsFlyer17)
BlackDragonSlayer: 3 (Nakah, Toby, TheZeldaPianist275)
SpecsFlyer17: 3 (BlackDragonSlayer, ThatHiddenCharacter, mastersuperfan)
#13
Nakah: 1 (Raeko)
Raeko: 2 (TheZeldaPianist275, SpecsFlyer17)
BlackDragonSlayer: 2 (Nakah, Toby)
SpecsFlyer17: 3 (BlackDragonSlayer, ThatHiddenCharacter, mastersuperfan)

25 minutes!
#14
Nakah: 1 (Raeko)
Raeko: 2 (TheZeldaPianist275, SpecsFlyer17)
BlackDragonSlayer: 2 (Nakah, Toby)
SpecsFlyer17: 2 (BlackDragonSlayer, ThatHiddenCharacter)

About an hour left!
#15
SpecsFlyer17: 1 (Toby)
Nakah: 2 (BlackDragonSlayer, Raeko)
Raeko: 3 (TheZeldaPianist275, ThatHiddenCharacter, SpecsFlyer17)
BlackDragonSlayer: 2 (Nakah, mastersuperfan)

110 more minutes!