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TWG CXV: Just a Numbers Game

Started by BlackDragonSlayer, August 17, 2023, 05:52:41 PM

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XiaoMigros

also i failed statistics in high school so i wont be much help with the math stuff haha

ill read through the stuff here later im busy rn

ThatHiddenCharacter

Quote from: TheZeldaPianist275 on August 18, 2023, 10:32:11 AMIf anyone doubts my math here, I invite you to take a look at the birthday problem.
Ironically enough, I was thinking of this exact math problem. I was just remembering it backwards. That's my bad.
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A# Minor

hey! listen!! ⬆️


haha get drowned
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I unintentionally set an avatar that matches my custom title (Termina Tango) and now I don't want to post

Toby

Do you guys chat in a discord or is it all on the forum

ThatHiddenCharacter

Quote from: Toby on August 18, 2023, 12:12:58 PMDo you guys chat in a discord or is it all on the forum
To make sure to be inclusive for players such as A# who are not present on Discord, we are doing forum-only for the time being.
Discord server (We have continental breakfast): https://discord.gg/ZuFJBF4

Jointers Discord server (We have continental music):
https://discord.gg/ehHWckpTzn

Ko-fi page (I have continental continents):
https://ko-fi.com/thathiddencharacter

XiaoMigros

in general for other stuff we do chat in a discord tho

Toby

gone are the days we used to all have to go onto Mibbit at the same time to chat

TheZeldaPianist275


A# Minor

hey! listen!! ⬆️


haha get drowned
[close]

I unintentionally set an avatar that matches my custom title (Termina Tango) and now I don't want to post

A# Minor

Also I will finish reading this and (hopefully) give some content when I'm done with school (taking a short break atm)
hey! listen!! ⬆️


haha get drowned
[close]

I unintentionally set an avatar that matches my custom title (Termina Tango) and now I don't want to post

Toby

I'm not convinced the best strategy is for us all just to hope for the best and pick our own numbers

E. Gadd Industries

Wowie math is hard
Like bats are simpler

Quote from: ThatHiddenCharacter on August 18, 2023, 09:15:26 AMYou only changed your idea after I called you out on it. Your original suggestion was ranges. It wasn't just my understanding, it was your exact words.
So this is interesting, and I think I follow Toby's reasoning for explaining it like he did in the post you quoted, but I also could see it being easily interpretable in the way you did.

Unrelated to that immediate post but still important: with the possibility of equidistant wolfings, is it even worth it to try and coordinate? That math that TZP did bringing it to 25% likely two people would pick the same number, is that including the probability the wolf picks the same number as those two?
"Everyone is crazy but me"
-The Sign Painter


The entrance to my lab is hidden... somewhere...
Spoiler

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E. Gadd Industries

Quote from: Toby on August 18, 2023, 12:34:42 PMI'm not convinced the best strategy is for us all just to hope for the best and pick our own numbers
It may not be, but trying to covertly coordinate 8 players to distribute their numbers unevenly (to prevent equidistance) but evenly (to minimize chance of multiple wolfings) would be difficult without some sort of information being given to the wolf. I'm not good at these sorts of math games, but I'll try to think it over some more to see if I can't come up with some something that could work.
"Everyone is crazy but me"
-The Sign Painter


The entrance to my lab is hidden... somewhere...
Spoiler

[/spoiler
[close]

E. Gadd Industries

Not to mention that we'd need to factor in that a town-counting third party has a vested interest in causing shenanigans here; they would be very unlikely to bring about multiple wolfings, but it's still a possibility just as much as multiple wolfings happening on their own.
"Everyone is crazy but me"
-The Sign Painter


The entrance to my lab is hidden... somewhere...
Spoiler

[/spoiler
[close]

Toby

TZP seems good at math so I personally nominate him to solve the game