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Started by BlackDragonSlayer, August 17, 2023, 05:52:41 PM
Quote from: Olimar12345 on August 18, 2023, 03:34:34 PMI'm not sure if it really matters too much if we organize our numbers. Leaning on random picking unless I'm convinced before then ig
Quote from: Toby on August 18, 2023, 09:29:47 AMOmg @BDS what happens if the numbers are the exact same distance away? Say someone picks 6 and someone picks 8 and the wolf picks 7, who dies ?
QuoteWhoever's number is closest to the number the Head Honcho picks dies. In case of a tie, all tied players die.
Quote from: E. Gadd Industries on August 18, 2023, 03:53:39 PMI had that thought as well tbh. It seems like it doesn't really make a ton of difference picking random vs not unless we get a plan spun up.Also, with the ~25-27% on the birthday problem application, I was thinking about it; IF we are going on the wolf picking the same number as two humans, wouldn't that be 26% * 1/100 (such that a wolf with no info whatsoever chooses the same number out of 100 as two humans)? If p=0.0026, that is certainly not the end of the world if we can't come up with a solid plan without letting the wolf know anything useful.One other thought I had recently: how would it be best to go about day phases? The wolf has quite a bit to burn through to win, but we can extend that by not going for lynches straight out the gate (unless we're 95% certain we're going for a wolf). Unless you're the phantom number swapper, there's no fear that the wolf is going to be able to target any special roles (even as the number swapper you can't be sure of a targeted wolf attack), so we don't really have anyone to overtly protect aside from those who would bring good strategy to the human side. But even those can't be targeted.Basically what I'm saying is, I'm not sure what the precedent is on this, but I think it could be worthwhile to not go for lynching during the day phases unless we're dead serious on the person we're putting on the chopping block. It gives us more time to make a strategy and we don't really have anyone specific to worry about dying due to wolfing, whereas anyone we lynch who isn't the wolf means the game still goes on and not in town's favor.This does have the caveat though that we will need to find another way to flush out the wolf, although I'm not sure how that'll be functionally different from if we were to vote for lynch candidates before we had strong suspicions about a particular person.
Quote from: E. Gadd Industries on August 18, 2023, 03:53:39 PMAlso, with the ~25-27% on the birthday problem application, I was thinking about it; IF we are going on the wolf picking the same number as two humans, wouldn't that be 26% * 1/100 (such that a wolf with no info whatsoever chooses the same number out of 100 as two humans)? If p=0.0026, that is certainly not the end of the world if we can't come up with a solid plan without letting the wolf know anything useful.
Quote from: BlackDragonSlayer on August 18, 2023, 04:58:59 PMA reminder to new and returning players to please not edit any game posts you make.
Quote from: XiaoMigros on August 18, 2023, 10:25:18 PMi was joking
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